The deadly effects of climate change began to show more clearly this year, such as the distortion of history hot waves, flooding, and wildfires killed thousands and reducing the number of disaster relief workers.
In the last days of 2021, scientists he warned that the eastern part of the Florida glacier is about to leave Antarctica and U.S. lawmakers have found that they can afford it. they lost their good fortune in ten years to establish climate plans.
But among the major symptoms, there were also signs that risk was beginning to rise after the season. Indeed, there is good reason now to believe that the earth can avoid the terrible dangers of global warming.
Princeton energy analyst Jesse Jenkins accurately, and surprisingly, pointed to the amazing time we have arrived. a recent tweet: “We are no longer f $% @ ed. But we are also far from unf $ @% * ed!
Frankly, a little progress is not enough. It has taken us a long time to begin to really change. Global and political developments could continue to slow down or reverse the trend. And we will not allow ourselves to make little progress in the face of any kind of adversity to reduce the pressure to take action.
But it is important to reflect on the progress that the world has made, because it shows that it is possible – and it can provide a template for you to achieve more.
So what are the signs of progress between the dark ages?
According to the United Nations, RCP 8.5 found that global warming could rise above 5 ° C by 2100. These assumptions are often included in studies to assess climate change risks, I roll my eyes. obtaining high-quality results that are frequently mentioned in newspapers. (Guilty.)
Some object that it was not all logical at first. And what is happening now seems to be exacerbated by the rapid transition from burning to coal-fired power plants, from declining natural gas to low gas but to windless solar and solar panels.
Global production it may already have been broken in view of the recent changes in the use of land, meaning that the recently degraded forests, fields, and grasslands around the world are increasing.
Today, if you can compile all the existing climate laws around the world, we are now at the 2.7 ° C temperature of this century as the average temperature, according to Climate Action Tracker. (Similarly, the UN agency a recent report found that the earth may reach a temperature of between 2.1 and 3.5 ° C under “medium” emissions.)
If you think the countries have fulfilled their gas emissions under the Paris agreement, including what has happened recently. Recent UN Conference in Glasgow, the temperature drops to 2.4 ° C. And if each country eliminates its target emissions by mid-year, it drops to 1.8 ° C.
Considering the ever-increasing weather patterns and declining sun and wind rates, we are on the verge of absolute proof. promoting the development of renewables. The International Energy Agency, known for reducing the amount of renewable energy sources in the past, now he says that global power will rise by more than 60% by 2026. At that time, solar, wind, hydro, and other renewable energy sources will outpace global oil and nuclear power plants.
The sales of new electric cars, which have been going slowly for many years, are starting again. It has reached nearly 5.6 million this year, jumping by more than 80% over the 2020 figures, as car manufacturers roll out more and more governments and imposing more aggressive policies, According to BloombergNEF.
Electric vehicles increased from 2.8% of new sales in the first half of 2019 to 7% in the first half of 2021, earning significant gains in China and Europe. Zero air-conditioning vehicles make up about 30% of new purchases by 2030, research firm operations.
In the meantime, there are many signs of advancement in technology. Researchers and companies are finding ways to make stainless steel and cement. Other species of animal origin are found tastier and more popular faster than everyone expected. Businesses are building very large plants absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. The current economic and technical costs have risen to an unprecedented level, reaching $ 30 billion across the third quarter, according to PitchBook.
And here is an important and contradictory point: Despite the increasingly dangerous and dangerous climate, the world seems to be doing well in protecting people from avoidance. The death toll from natural disasters has dropped dramatically in recent years.
“We have the best technology for predicting hurricanes, wildfires, and floods; construction to protect ourselves; and networks to connect and recover in the event of a disaster, ” he realized Hannah Ritchie, research director at Our World of Data, in a recent Wired UK article, citing his research.
This gives us added hope that with the right funding for climate change such as water walls and community cooling areas, we can address some of the challenges we may face. However, rich countries that emit higher levels of greenhouse gases must provide financial assistance to keep poorer nations at bay.
Some people have adopted these signals to say that climate change will not be so bad. That’s nonsense. The world, in any way, is less sensitive to the growing risks.
A nearby planet 3 ° C extreme heat it would have been a very dangerous and mysterious place. The heat threatens to wreak havoc on coral reefs, engulfing large areas of our coastal cities and low islands, and expose millions of people to extreme heat, drought, famine, and floods.
In addition, we can further mitigate the effects of atmospheric pressure on the atmosphere, as well as the increase in climate and the dangers posed by global warming. And there is no guarantee that nations will not back down from their policies and promises about economic hardship, conflict, and other unforeseen occurrences.
But frankly, a warm world of 3 ° C is a better place to live than warmer by 5 ° C, as well as the best way to get to 2 ° C.
Zeke Hausfather, director of meteorology and energy at the Breakthrough Institute, states: “That doesn’t mean it’s fair. “The point is, this is the foundation on which we are working. And it is easy to imagine the rapid descent from there. ”
In other words, it is obvious that the world has made great strides without degrading climate change in many countries, and despite the toxicity, the politics surrounding climate change.
The transformation of natural gas, then solar and wind, and more generally all EVs were subsidized by government subsidies, including loans, support, and other policies which pushed for market-based expertise. And the way to promote business reduces the cost of those technologies, making them more attractive.
More and more and more and more and more and more clean and hygienic methods that promise to soften politics of other climatic events. If more countries establish more aggressive policies – carbon taxes, standards for clean electricity, or more money for research and demonstrations – we will reduce the number of smokers we can reduce.
The world is not ending
There are other reasons for recognizing the limited progress we are making.
U.S. political leaders are now repeating what they call climate change is “an existing threat,” meaning it will destroy the entire human race. After a 2018 UN report estimated that global temperatures could reach 1.5 ° C between 2030 and 2052, climate change activists and media outlets rallied to find “We have 12 years to save the world!”
If so, the friend has dropped to 9. But 1.5 ° C is not a scientifically proven place for human collapse. Although the world will miss that goal, it is important to fight for half the temperature beyond that, which poses many dangers.
At present, meteorological studies do not show that the imminent temperature of 3 ° C could turn the world into a permanent place.
Consequently, climate change is not a threat.
But that idea has come to fruition. Earlier this year, researchers at Bath University surveyed 10,000 young people, ages 16 to 25, in 10 countries to determine the severity of “climate stress.” More than half, 56%, he agreed with the phrase “Something is settled.”
These are the things that politicians and human rights activists need to continue to threaten with what they want, in the hope that they will find a way to solve the problem. And the increasing number of climate fears and the growing number of climate activists have undoubtedly placed great pressure on politicians and businesses to take these issues seriously, and help drive the change in policy that we have seen. They are truly to be commended for that.
But to say that the world is about to collapse, when it is not, is a dangerous message for young people and has other dangers. It undermines trust. It can cause some to lose hope. And it can cause others to want to answer too much and often to disagree.
“It ‘s time to stop telling our children that they are going to die because of climate change,” Ritchie said he wrote. “It’s not just cruelty, it can make it happen.”
When people do not see “the right way forward, ”They begin to think without reason.
Of those I hear frequently surprisingly: We need to shut down all oil spills, and get rid of oil and gas now. We need to fix everything with the latest technologies and reject the “strategic delay” approach to continue investing in power generation. We must stop the sale, construction, and economic development. Or: We must break the global capitalist system that caused all the problems!
Nothing affects me if it is politically possible than to fix our power.
We need to turn off fuel-burning houses, change cars, and change new ways of making food, cement, metal, and other things, and urgently. But we have to do it by making alternatives that do not pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.
If we change the target to 2 ° C, which is unfortunate but real for now, we still have decades to change. Under high emissions levels, the country will not cross the border until about 2052 as a median average, Hausfather Analysis a recent UN climate report shows.
What we cannot do is simply shut down weapons that support the global economy – without much damage to jobs, food, health care, and security. We can give up the resources we need to create a sustainable economy, as well as for our communities to be able to cope with the risks posed by climate change.