As winter approaches, Western nations are placing their faith in child safety and vaccination to protect their safety in Covid-19.
But health officials in the northern part of the world fear that the size of each wave in the winter months will depend on the amount of vaccine left in the elderly, which are at risk.
Officials in Europe and the US, wanting to address the growing problem in hospitals that are doing well, are questioning whether their vaccine can deal with skeptical seniors and re-evaluate what can happen – such as forced vaccination.
Vaccination responsibilities are said to be helping to raise prices in the younger groups, but a number of European countries have seen similar results among the elderly.
A Financial Times study by Public Health England found that they currently drink about 800 doses to avoid one hospital for more than 60 years over a four-week period, while it took about 25,000 twice to achieve the same 18s, due to older groups at high risk of disease. elders.
England joins countries including Spain, Portugal, Denmark and Ireland as one of the countries with the highest vaccination among older groups. More than 13m – about 95% – over the age of 60 in England have received their first level, according to PHE. But this still leaves about 600,000 vaccines in this age group, which has been more than 90% of coronavirus deaths.
In the US, especially the southern countries, the picture is very high. More than 3m Americans over the age of 65 have not received their first jab, including nearly one in 10 people over the age of 75. Last month, President Joe Biden complains of “non-vaccine epidemic” due to the high number of stress vaccines that were being put in hospitals and clinics.
Kevin Schulman, a professor of medicine at Stanford University, predicted that the next phase of the epidemic would be “easier to see” in Europe than in the US due to the high number of vaccines among the elderly.
Schulman added that the vaccine has been very political, moving between those who are skeptical of the vaccine and those who choose to receive jabs.
“We need to get rid of the vaccine,” Schulman said. “Vaccinated older groups are more focused on alternatives, which provide conflicting information. We need to focus on how we interact with these sites and new information. ”
He warned that without finding effective ways to change people’s attitudes, the vaccine would become a “very dangerous way” – seeing uncircumcised relatives, friends and neighbors becoming seriously ill with coronavirus during the winter.
This is already evident in some of the countries most affected by the Delta genocide, with images of crippled ICUs replacing the TV news during the summer.
In Florida, the daily number of patients in the mid-65s had dropped to 0.03% by July, but once the Delta was in power, the number had quadrupled to 0.11 percent a day. Similarly, Mississippi fell 0.03% in early summer before returning to 0.17% daily among the 65-year-old Delta.
Noel Brewer, a professor of health at the University of North Carolina, said this created a “link” between the number of new Covid cases and the number of vaccines.
Brewer said the first experimental vaccine will show “resilience” in the winter due to the combination of cost-effectiveness measures, the prevalence of the disease and the wave of recently released drugs that encouraged older people to take the jab.
In Europe, several countries have been successful in using vaccines.
France, Lithuania and Slovenia have all seen daily vaccinations for people over the age of 60 fall from 1% in late spring to about 0.1% by summer, before returning after being declared vaccinated passports.
Arunas Dulkys, Lithuania’s health minister, told FT that part of his country’s passport-initiation proposal, which came into effect in September, was to prevent Lithuanian seniors, who have the lowest life expectancy in the EU, seriously ill. ‘groups.
Dulkys said vaccines “are the most important tools in preventing the epidemic.” Vaccine passports put the power in the hands of citizens, “said Dulkys. ”, but the passport is the one that takes people as the answer. “
Angus Thomson, former head of vaccination and media reporting at the French medical team Sannofi Pasteur, said the French passport system had helped “wait” for it to work.
“These people did not object to the vaccine but did not start skipping,” Thomson said. “However, when [the vaccine passport] went into operation, and even the elderly were given the opportunity to be at risk. ”
“It was right between the ear and the shovel,” Thomson added. “All of a sudden, people have experienced this: going to a restaurant, not going to a restaurant, going to a gift shop, not going to the reception, going shopping, not going shopping.”
Italy, surpassed most of the countries with the potential for immunization, expanded its reach from hospitality to all workplaces, and became the first Western country to seriously consider appropriate vaccines.
But so far the Italian health authorities have not done very well in recruiting skeptical older groups. Some 2.8m Italians over the age of 60 are still vaccinated.
“It’s a few steps and we’re trying to squeeze more people who have been vaccinated each way,” said Anna Odone, a professor of health at the University of Pavia. “Everything now has to be unique in order to attract people. That means we have to go from door to door to find these elderly people and reassure them.”
Odone said the coercive vaccine remained on the table “as a last resort” but added that it represented “acceptance of defeat” in public health interviews.
If Italy wants to launch an official vaccine, it will join Indonesia, the Federated States of Micronesia and Turkmenistan. “It’s an odd company to keep,” added Odone.