For the next few decades, researchers found important facts about fever. They found that it is common in some parts of the world, that the fungus that causes the disease lives in the soil, that most people with the virus are undetectable, and, in particular, how weather conditions affect the spread of the virus. Coccidioides.
Several years In the past, Morgan Gorris, an earth scientist at the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, decided to explore an important question: What makes a receptionist so special? Cocci? He soon discovered that mushrooms grow differently. The U.S. low-temperature regions have an average temperature of 50 Fahrenheit and average rainfall of less than 600 millimeters a year. “Basically, it was hot and dry areas,” Gorris says. He linked the areas that completed the site on the map and covered them with a comparison of the CDC itself Cocci it grows. Obviously, the regions, which run from West Texas via Southwest to California (with a small subdivision in Washington) are similar.
But Gorris examined him go ahead. He decided to see what would happen with fever fever in the hottest weather. In other words, if the disease spreads if people continue to emit greenhouse gases business-usual. “After doing this, I realized that by the end of the 21st century, many in the western United States could develop a disease of the valley,” he said. “Our regions can grow as far north as the US-Canada border.”
There are reasons to believe this Cocci Growth could already happen, Bridget Barker, a researcher at Northern Arizona University, told Grist. Parts of Utah, Washington, and northern Arizona have all sprung up in the recent valley. “This affects us because, yes, it shows that it’s happening right now,” Barker said. “If we see the connection of global warming, we see Cocci seems to be restricted by the cold. ”Barker is still working to understand global warming Cocci mushrooms are. But, in particular, that most US people may be ready soon Cocci multiplication, he said, and regret.
There is a serious economic crisis associated with the rise of fever in new regions. Gorris did a different analysis taking into account future developments and seeing that, by the end of the century, the average annual cost of fever fever could rise to $ 18.5 billion a year, starting at $ 3.9 billion today.
Gorris research examines how and where Cocci it can move in warm weather. But what is causing the actual climb Cocci has already been established, as in Ventura, where the Jesse Merrick family has been burned, it is still a place of inquiry.
Jesse thinks the cause of his illness in the valley is obvious. “I can clearly see the connection between the fire and the fever Valley,” he told Grist. But scientists do not know exactly what drives the universe Cocci transmission, as well as government officials.
Mu December 2018 issue, Ventura County Health Assistant Robert Levin doubted the connection between Cocci it is a blazing fire. “As a health worker in the Ventura region, I do not see a connection between the fire department and Cocci disease, ”he said, noting that only one of the 4,000 firefighters who worked at Thomas Fire in 2017 contracted fever. Jennifer Head, a medical student at UC Berkeley who works in a laboratory to study the origins of fires in the Fever Valley, has not seen much evidence to support such a connection either. “Journalists talk a lot about wildfires and high temperatures in the valley, and the general idea is that wildfires will increase the temperature of the valley,” he said. But the closest thing the Head could find to link the two was an unpublished text — a summary of science — that was not included in the larger paper.